At Labour Conference, the Prime Minister said he would use the next UK-EU Summit to set out options for our future relationship with the EU. Previous Best for Britain research has made the economic and political case for membership. This report sets out the practical route back: the Article 49 accession process.
Of all the options, the membership process is arguably the most predictable. Twenty-two countries, including the UK, have joined the EU this way. By contrast, only three have negotiated a bespoke Customs Union, and the last to join EFTA (the pathway towards the Single Market) was in 1991.
Under Article 49, the EU must consider an application from any qualifying European state, an obligation that doesn’t apply to the Customs Union or to the current UK approach of sector-by-sector deals.
Rejoining would not be quick or easy, but claims that it would take a decade are wide off the mark. The UK starts from a strong position: limited regulatory divergence since 2020, closer integration through the UK- EU Summits, and shared values. Finland joined in under three years, so EU membership could be within reach in a single Parliament (under five years).
New members don’t automatically adopt the Euro or join the Schengen Area when they accede, and several existing members remain outside both. The Common Travel Area with Ireland could also strengthen the case for a Schengen opt-out.
Finally, the conversation about new forms of membership has gathered pace since Commission President Ursula von der Leyen invited Canada to become the EU’s first ‘associate member’. There is as yet no legal basis for associate membership, and it is unlikely to be on the table for the UK.
But it shows flexibility from the EU to think about the form and process of membership. It also shows that strong political will, of the kind that Canada has shown towards the EU, can open up new possibilities.
The UK should heed that lesson as the conversation about our future relationship with the EU takes shape.
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